TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc24…6d67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 63 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.75
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$36.98
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.77
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.65
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.04
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$21.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$12.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.52
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+70.2%+$14.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.3%+$17.49
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$11.9
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.59
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33.61
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$173.79
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$109.04
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$35.75
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.72
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$220.95
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+41.4%+$58.97
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$23.87
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28%+$8.22
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.