TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$687,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION41c22,022$9,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,116.693,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere50c21,222$10,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,526.1575758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere55c19,059$10,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,639.121,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere49c15,158$7,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.3472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed PARIVISION51c14,155$7,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,217.767440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed PARIVISION49c14,140$6,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,928.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere61c14,107$8,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,540.9921939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere50c13,809$6,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,928.7946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Natus Vincere71c13,648$9,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.7710663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere51c12,037$6,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,897.925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION19c10,827$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.822,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION54c9,152$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed PARIVISION50c8,888$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4444731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed PARIVISION49c8,748$4,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,286.517146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked PARIVISION44c8,072$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.8762738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked PARIVISION27c8,060$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.8322927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION37c8,046$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.586,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed PARIVISION51c7,489$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere44c7,215$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.511,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION49c6,273$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.8724846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere57c6,117$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6002,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere47c6,050$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.5388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere73c5,500$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.4339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere54c5,000$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.221,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere47c4,791$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.511,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed PARIVISION49c4,658$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.8912353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed PARIVISION50c4,532$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.324537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere59c4,492$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.632,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere72c4,410$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.9883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere56c3,581$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.462,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere50c3,564$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78265250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed PARIVISION60c3,262$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.6312449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere51c3,108$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed PARIVISION47c3,057$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4405549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere67c3,035$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.787,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed PARIVISION50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Natus Vincere53c2,750$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.6413065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…b6bdbacked Natus Vincere50c2,750$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere52c2,741$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.3246345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION18c2,723$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.351,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION41c2,665$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x925d…ca00backed Natus Vincere51c2,500$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Natus Vincere51c2,498$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.7511247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION13c2,411$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.133,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere53c2,404$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.3617148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere49c2,362$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.0228248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Natus Vincere51c2,354$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.6412452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION44c2,281$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0737346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere49c2,247$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.771,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere49c2,224$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.2917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed PARIVISION48c2,213$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06220944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed PARIVISION53c2,144$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.7115264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed PARIVISION49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf38b…ff41backed Natus Vincere50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked PARIVISION51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02036245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere54c1,921$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.095,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Natus Vincere48c1,907$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.7510550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Natus Vincere50c1,817$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.512153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked PARIVISION43c1,751$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.3375145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Natus Vincere62c1,705$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.775158.8%30 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed PARIVISION50c1,665$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.1921351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed PARIVISION50c1,641$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.1924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere47c1,570$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.8436645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Natus Vincere51c1,547$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.725358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4617850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed PARIVISION48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72041847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9938868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION8c1,471$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.924564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Natus Vincere50c1,399$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Natus Vincere73c1,392$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9213267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Natus Vincere52c1,317$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.2123861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Natus Vincere53c1,291$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.3155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed PARIVISION53c1,209$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION17c1,197$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3922554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked PARIVISION51c1,190$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.7714144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x918e…c0f6backed PARIVISION19c1,167$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.95195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-91.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Natus Vincere57c1,160$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.616934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked PARIVISION45c1,101$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.311833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed PARIVISION23c1,074$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7321246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0111…e0f4backed PARIVISION50c1,038$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Natus Vincere73c1,021$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.288359%49 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed PARIVISION49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdae9…f444backed PARIVISION38c1,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed PARIVISION1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49014355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed PARIVISION36c1,000$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3558951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed PARIVISION27c985.95$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5156732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere64c972.42$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.639970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION52c966.51$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked PARIVISION52c954.59$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.979058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere52c926.73$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.229831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Natus Vincere73c926.11$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.79746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION46c907.52$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5917042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed PARIVISION29c903.45$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623129%9 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45911852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked PARIVISION1c899.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Natus Vincere68c880.93$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4211644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.