TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c156,553$76,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,710.8122049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over51c151,019$76,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,044.6239249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c20,089$10,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,850.131,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c10,342$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.623145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c4,553$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.713,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under49c4,371$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.0383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Over50c4,037$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under51c3,468$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.386450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under49c3,210$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5731315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under50c3,110$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55547147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over50c2,993$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.318445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c2,811$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.083447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over51c1,900$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93131345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73514954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under49c1,478$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.453746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c1,433$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.562,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Under37c1,076$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3986246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Over52c961.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6714362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over48c950.45$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1222838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Under56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4489954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under50c757$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.511252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c756.64$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.623,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b2…94b8backed Over51c588.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under49c577.55$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2839753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over50c565.8$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.921246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over52c559.62$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6219351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under50c551.86$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3852951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Under55c496.56$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1117042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Over49c453.97$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.572657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22524943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under48c360.34$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.361,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Under56c358.93$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.527556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Over50c346$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1736931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under52c295.02$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.413638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c69…962ebacked Over53c288.57$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.073540%14 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Over45c217.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7810729.9%32 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd238…ad7fbacked Over72c208.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.65540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8460451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed30…ddedbacked Under50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…3da4backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Over51c173.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2124249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under50c153.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9915056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0625941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…ef38backed Over52c129.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.43141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Over46c127.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9420744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over53c98.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1117053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0420145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over51c97.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.478444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1518239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d2…0290backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…2281backed Over52c95.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked Over51c90.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.23754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Over69c86.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9516546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over52c82.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.268459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Over51c81.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.054269%29 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under49c78.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.356756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under49c78.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.359860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf764…78b8backed Over52c76.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Under56c76.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.75450%27 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked Over52c74.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.419256.8%109 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60de…60d2backed Over53c68.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf97f…d306backed Under61c65.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed Over49c60.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over47c60.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.274740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.532369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68c8…ce30backed Over52c57.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.79875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under49c55.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0136846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b45…d5f4backed Under49c54.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.592142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x755b…f4f5backed Over50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over51c53.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3613436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over50c53.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.727342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa739…6333backed Under71c52.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+130.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Under55c52.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9537841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.534742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0233456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under45c47.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6140635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over53c44.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2133156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1215756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under54c41.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6220251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…06c2backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+116.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e8…3294backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227131%22 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed Under59c39.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under26c39.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a4…0c00backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…2d57backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856b…5f76backed Over50c35.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed Under51c34.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.