CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649bf8593dfe20a471f5c1e85642ca3841875970abac974413028146573d5dfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Natus Vincere, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,963$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed PARIVISION | 69c | 2,750$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.51 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.2 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,938$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.06 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,884$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.8 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…be4bbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,720$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,476$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,187$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,158$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.68 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,101$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,017$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.63 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 809.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…7780backed PARIVISION | 69c | 750.04$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed PARIVISION | 66c | 505$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0567…82d1backed PARIVISION | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed PARIVISION | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 449.47$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…6f28backed PARIVISION | 66c | 440.71$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed PARIVISION | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…6367backed PARIVISION | 70c | 265.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…ddb1backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 249.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 53c | 222.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed PARIVISION | 79c | 208.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 201.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed PARIVISION | 67c | 190.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 35c | 181.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 167.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 137.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 128.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…360bbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 123.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 113.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION | 66c | 79.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 73.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 66.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 61.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed PARIVISION | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…6e8bbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 56.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed PARIVISION | 68c | 50.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked PARIVISION | 56c | 45.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed PARIVISION | 68c | 43.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed PARIVISION | 43c | 40.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…ec2abacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 38.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 38.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed PARIVISION | 67c | 38.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…fc81backed PARIVISION | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 29.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed PARIVISION | 61c | 25.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed PARIVISION | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed PARIVISION | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…862abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed PARIVISION | 69c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.