TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91f7…360b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$583
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$553.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,437.16
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.84
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$107.02
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$41.26
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$91.03
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+160.2%+$459.35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.13
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$76.58
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$246.48
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.9%+$37.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$104.23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$140.86
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+300%+$30
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+145.9%+$431.03
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.05
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$58.28
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$37.15
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$54.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$957.45
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.68
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.41
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$32.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99.62
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.2%+$10.12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20.53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$31.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.