TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof Vitality, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed TheMongolz26c40,570$10,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,055.4812649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality76c25,445$19,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,400.4521051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vitality66c10,494$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,920.093,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Vitality0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz42c7,572$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.2159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Vitality44c4,816$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10019834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz31c4,581$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.7647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed Vitality80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality74c2,422$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.5444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked TheMongolz35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Vitality57c1,889$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed TheMongolz37c1,400$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Vitality74c1,352$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TheMongolz46c1,316$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.12,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz58c1,304$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.811,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63775245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz30c1,250$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.0261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Vitality72c1,152$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.3521460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Vitality63c1,145$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed TheMongolz17c1,116$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.991,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffc…122bbacked TheMongolz10c1,111$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+556.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed TheMongolz26c1,087$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.0410335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Vitality58c1,069$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.8626046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ab…f441backed TheMongolz38c1,026$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.912828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked TheMongolz20c1,018$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.394346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed TheMongolz22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc537…f385backed Vitality1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10340%0 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69028443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Vitality53c899.99$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8692152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed TheMongolz23c887.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.389769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz32c803$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.541,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz44c802.62$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.717,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz12c751.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.351,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality72c701.09$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.84,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed TheMongolz38c699$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4369152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Vitality80c624.96$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Vitality54c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32452834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked TheMongolz49c546.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.460147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed TheMongolz43c543.47$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.782236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246b…f2e0backed Vitality68c533.74$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked TheMongolz59c506.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.869038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed TheMongolz46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27017548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Vitality57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed TheMongolz22c478.18$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.189832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Vitality57c459.84$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8947641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed TheMongolz12c444$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.726521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed TheMongolz23c413.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5919732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Vitality57c399.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22822556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Vitality76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Vitality65c389.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4911470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed TheMongolz40c381.16$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed TheMongolz53c362$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1450043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed TheMongolz26c349.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9950833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality76c329.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25059049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Vitality79c327.49$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked TheMongolz55c320.36$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2711344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Vitality48c319.84$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2152947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Vitality51c316.78$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.564067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c2…190bbacked Vitality56c310.48$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.776643.9%29 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Vitality63c305.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.43,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Vitality49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14778348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz46c287.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.852,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed TheMongolz54c286.77$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.045749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality65c278.84$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.324,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed TheMongolz26c250$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7539237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Vitality45c237.94$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0731444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed TheMongolz25c228.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.11,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed TheMongolz46c222.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.547546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked Vitality76c217.64$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.414037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Vitality49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008150.6%41 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5e…7b83backed Vitality41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed TheMongolz23c191$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0737448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Vitality74c165.07$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1547053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…5b3abacked TheMongolz53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…af32backed TheMongolz69c148.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.761741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309b…2c72backed TheMongolz31c143.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.492544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Vitality73c136.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Vitality68c136.49$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.231,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Vitality59c134.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4666…5fc4backed Vitality26c133.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed Vitality77c131.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015483.3%45 W · 9 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Vitality78c128.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1331372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz22c127.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.563,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz22c124$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.162,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed TheMongolz36c122.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.754924.5%12 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe3b2…55cdbacked Vitality48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.71926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed TheMongolz21c119.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.644546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vitality56c112.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5469624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c2…3c0abacked TheMongolz17c111.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.764729.8%14 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Vitality71c101.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8320944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Vitality10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Vitality68c96.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6729934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed TheMongolz37c85.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2921947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d82…72febacked TheMongolz23c85.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+56.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked TheMongolz28c85.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.384030%12 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed TheMongolz30c83.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.444839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Vitality48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz23c80.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.482,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb388…dc58backed Vitality57c74.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.52955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Vitality75c73.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2316448.8%80 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.