CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5651ff27ae0570024fdb34465720d2b02f14a7fc87ec4214fac14889fe73c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 37c | 100,452$37,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,293.97 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 63c | 65,244$41,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,103.8 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…3bcabacked Under | 63c | 8,728$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 5,488$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Under | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 63c | 3,838$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 63c | 3,554$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.02 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 63c | 3,492$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 63c | 1,763$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 3c | 875$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Under | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 63c | 595.24$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Over | 39c | 513.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 60c | 400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Under | 38c | 332.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 62c | 227.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Over | 50c | 195.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Under | 75c | 192.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 59c | 169.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 32c | 117.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…03d1backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 54c | 98.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 36c | 96.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed Under | 72c | 93.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Under | 63c | 79.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…eb04backed Under | 63c | 77.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 72c | 65.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 34c | 58.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…0574backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Over | 38c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Under | 76c | 46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 43c | 45.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 64c | 42.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcc…96d2backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 63c | 39.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Over | 36c | 28.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 64c | 19.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…2d83backed Under | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…76bbbacked Under | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.