TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$559,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$579,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked TheMongolz23c459,284$104,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,954.9542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality77c250,095$192,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,522.7621051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vitality78c50,000$38,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Vitality77c44,793$34,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,302.3683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Vitality77c30,000$23,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality77c26,536$20,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,127.9276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Vitality77c21,000$16,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,83035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz14c18,931$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.7947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Vitality78c13,710$10,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz15c7,964$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.441,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality77c6,381$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.0344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality78c5,577$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.9265650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz15c4,338$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.052,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality78c4,267$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.7464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked TheMongolz23c3,318$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.428443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Vitality75c3,200$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.334548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed Vitality78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.022867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed TheMongolz20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality78c2,220$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz26c2,138$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.7728453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed TheMongolz25c1,977$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0626046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz24c1,258$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed TheMongolz23c1,168$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5714532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TheMongolz12c1,046$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.062,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Vitality77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302552%13 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Vitality75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Vitality76c987$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8813952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69aa…e28bbacked Vitality78c961.54$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.542755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz23c956.52$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed TheMongolz24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed TheMongolz23c769.57$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1779832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed TheMongolz5c724.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.974045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz22c717.98$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9624846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality74c615.75$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.517,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed TheMongolz4c609.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.924440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Vitality78c592$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2412742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed TheMongolz24c508.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.94924.5%12 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd5e…7b83backed TheMongolz21c473.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309b…2c72backed TheMongolz31c464.89$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed Vitality79c413.08$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.753847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed TheMongolz23c388$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2417345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Vitality78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.622462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Vitality78c383.69$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4145162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz22c334.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz12c332.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.963,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality78c332$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked TheMongolz19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5748242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Vitality77c290.86$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.99146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Vitality77c259$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5774054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Vitality77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.540655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed TheMongolz11c247$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.131,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Vitality79c245$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.531,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Vitality79c244.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.532,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed TheMongolz23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.619247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Vitality77c209.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.311353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Vitality78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4426336.5%96 W · 167 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed TheMongolz23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4647641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed Vitality77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Vitality77c198$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5410053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked TheMongolz26c170$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed TheMongolz24c163.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.744839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Vitality78c160$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.237448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Vitality78c156$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4216448.8%80 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz19c140.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Vitality78c138.55$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Vitality79c135.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9110849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Vitality68c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3962538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0295…c9bebacked Vitality78c115.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.385156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Vitality77c107.13$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed TheMongolz15c101.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.862634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d6…81c5backed TheMongolz13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed TheMongolz20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.941,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Vitality74c94.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed TheMongolz11c91.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.275016%8 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed TheMongolz23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebec…f38dbacked TheMongolz24c83.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz18c75.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7769624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Vitality60c74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.611470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Vitality77c62.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4736434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Vitality77c56.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9917745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4426…e344backed TheMongolz24c52.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51fe…54f8backed TheMongolz20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0d…e5b9backed Vitality78c41.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.032864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ef…ebcabacked Vitality74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed TheMongolz33c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7642831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x957c…2965backed Vitality80c27.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.541566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Vitality70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.510660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vitality77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Vitality77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.626660.9%162 W · 104 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Vitality78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1833869.8%236 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Vitality79c17.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8139970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Vitality79c16.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.365461.1%33 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed Vitality77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4521762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Vitality78c14.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.251136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.