CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea0c4a6cb8bb91273ba7f1b8bf1ce3d823d0dbb287f1d7d2fc2b1f2fa8c1ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Vitality, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed TheMongolz | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Vitality | 60c | 8,377$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.13 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz | 40c | 2,764$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.11 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vitality | 60c | 2,580$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.59 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,683$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.56 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality | 60c | 1,482$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.25 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed TheMongolz | 41c | 903.36$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.4 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Vitality | 63c | 869.32$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed TheMongolz | 39c | 757.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.75 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed TheMongolz | 41c | 489.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.27 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality | 59c | 476.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 40c | 419.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Vitality | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Vitality | 62c | 323$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed TheMongolz | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Vitality | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…e3bcbacked Vitality | 59c | 254.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed TheMongolz | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Vitality | 59c | 200.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…2138backed Vitality | 59c | 189.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Vitality | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz | 39c | 162$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Vitality | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Vitality | 60c | 149.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Vitality | 60c | 146$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…e778backed Vitality | 60c | 131.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Vitality | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed TheMongolz | 38c | 113.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Vitality | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality | 64c | 98.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…aa6ebacked TheMongolz | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed TheMongolz | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…0044backed Vitality | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008c…47a9backed Vitality | 59c | 56.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed TheMongolz | 41c | 49.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Vitality | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Vitality | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…36f3backed Vitality | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed TheMongolz | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Vitality | 63c | 33.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1483backed Vitality | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Vitality | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed TheMongolz | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz | 37c | 27.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Vitality | 58c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Vitality | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…74e0backed Vitality | 64c | 16.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.