TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5981…36f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.8%+$18.97
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.08
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.57
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+57.8%+$14.44
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.5%+$13.37
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Alliance (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.78
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+125.8%+$31.46
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.9
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Counter-Strike: Players vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.84
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.71
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-51.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.45
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.89
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.04
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.09
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.42
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.06
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$5.87
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$43.21
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.86
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.76
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.35
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.79
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.52
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$26.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$31.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-2.5)backed UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+82.1%+$32.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.