Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6dab501c71ba15da1923831c142720bef75646d4088f9309a98523ee994645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,130,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,565,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,130,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0720…1cdbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,628,250$1,291,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291,461.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 51c | 850,000$429,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420,499.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 51c | 585,325$299,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285,708.86 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed No | 51c | 271,193$138,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,884.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked No | 34c | 227,630$78,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,130.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 52c | 126,154$65,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,853.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 51c | 120,640$61,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,360.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Yes | 48c | 118,250$56,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,750.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,999.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 84,268$43,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,572.94 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 46c | 69,780$32,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,028.02 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 65c | 53,489$34,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,887.57 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 45,160$23,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,869.11 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed No | 51c | 45,000$22,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 43,979$22,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,230.01 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked No | 51c | 41,000$20,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,090 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 52c | 32,272$16,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,559.26 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 23,216$15,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,287.21 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 22,239$10,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,564.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 52c | 22,135$11,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,624.62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked No | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 51c | 19,110$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,364.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 51c | 18,888$9,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,349.63 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 51c | 16,849$8,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,256.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 52c | 16,434$8,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,912.15 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 16,306$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,660.86 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 16,239$9,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,375.81 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 14,082$6,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 51c | 13,122$6,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,429.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 54c | 13,008$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 51c | 12,335$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.75 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 51c | 11,688$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 44c | 10,998$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.26 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 51c | 10,928$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.72 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 36c | 10,874$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,971.94 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 51c | 10,577$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.73 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 49c | 10,437$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.19 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 52c | 9,990$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 52c | 9,540$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.09 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 53c | 9,472$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.69 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 8,692$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.31 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 8,653$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.31 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.04 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 52c | 7,758$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.61 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 53c | 6,666$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 53c | 6,023$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 47c | 5,942$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 51c | 5,800$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 39c | 5,226$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 64c | 5,183$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.05 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed Yes | 80c | 4,926$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 53c | 2,978$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No | 51c | 2,922$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 2,734$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.19 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 2,486$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.95 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 2,424$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.39 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 10c | 2,235$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.87 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 51c | 2,070$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +197%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 48c | 1,892$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.06 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 1,811$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.88 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 51c | 1,650$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 51c | 1,483$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.67 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,482$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 1,477$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.35 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…1fb6backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 46c | 1,290$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.22 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked No | 52c | 1,249$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 71c | 1,226$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 1,169$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.74 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 51c | 1,084$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +319.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.