Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb577821614eafc525b32f482c2d7c11b2b5d3e1829f735da273eac748537cd07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $777,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $678,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 32c | 129,166$41,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,332.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 29c | 86,524$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 78,454$57,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,186.73 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 1c | 60,169$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 39,523$27,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,078.49 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 32,047$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.45 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 25,613$19,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 22,985$16,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 71c | 20,083$14,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.16 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 71c | 18,888$13,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 70c | 18,211$12,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,463.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 72c | 16,669$12,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 15,732$10,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.93 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 70c | 15,586$10,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 15,417$10,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.12 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 30c | 14,682$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…b09bbacked No | 68c | 11,748$7,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 32c | 9,400$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…3ad5backed Yes | 28c | 9,338$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 70c | 7,899$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.58 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Yes | 2c | 5,640$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…7d52backed Yes | 0c | 5,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 4,999$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.37 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 17c | 4,721$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 30c | 4,421$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.11 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 68c | 4,351$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.27 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed4…ac30backed Yes | 28c | 3,905$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 71c | 3,869$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.57 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 71c | 3,333$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.56 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9818backed Yes | 30c | 3,327$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 30c | 3,127$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 3,100$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 28c | 2,929$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 71c | 2,604$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.67 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 70c | 2,597$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.38 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 2,479$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.05 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 2,422$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 31c | 2,403$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 69c | 2,365$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,356$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 70c | 2,231$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.29 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 2,182$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.91 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 13c | 1,973$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 30c | 1,729$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 1,727$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.53 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,700$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 30c | 1,672$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 31c | 1,660$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0b7ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,653$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 2c | 1,526$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,512$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 1,405$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.54 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 28c | 1,389$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 9c | 1,387$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 67c | 1,349$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 29c | 1,347$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 1,241$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.17 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 30c | 1,185$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 67c | 1,030$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 24c | 1,007$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 1,001$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…f7e4backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 71c | 999.96$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 6c | 903.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…a66abacked Yes | 30c | 890.43$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 30c | 878.76$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 841.96$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.18 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 6c | 837.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 30c | 832.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 69c | 800$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.