Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49c695e97b5b7f734f8b9d0a562f1bf1743f9f07d9b95d7f5a083a328d26c4f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 18,272$14,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,161.16 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 15,117$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 9,079$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,988.89 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,033$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.05 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 23c | 2,478$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.06 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…2a73backed Yes | 17c | 2,169$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 1,837$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.56 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 1,484$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.35 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 24c | 1,371$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.83 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 64c | 1,319$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.83 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed No | 12c | 1,065$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 1,013$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.09 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 989.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.55 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 77c | 909.16$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 23c | 775$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 10c | 734.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0b7ebacked Yes | 21c | 713.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 706.65$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.75 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 20c | 500.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 23c | 500$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.78 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 447.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 9c | 440$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 47c | 399.96$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 341.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 19c | 335.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 75c | 330$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…b48bbacked Yes | 24c | 270.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 258$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 24c | 249.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 8c | 247.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 9c | 244.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 226.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 23c | 217.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 23c | 213$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 195.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Yes | 24c | 192$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…1fb6backed Yes | 17c | 191$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 24c | 184.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 25c | 176.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.27 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 26c | 163.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 10c | 159.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 146$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 17c | 145.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 143.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 24c | 133.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 77c | 129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 113$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 11c | 101.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a914backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 44c | 95.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 50c | 89.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 24c | 79.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 25c | 76.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 16c | 76.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…8e67backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 18c | 73.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 25c | 68.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked No | 27c | 67.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 49c | 66.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 66.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…a27cbacked No | 16c | 65.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.