TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x501d…52e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.12
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+1,382.9%+$331.89
Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 0 Panama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 2 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.28
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$38.64
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$34.15
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$16.29
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+244.8%+$34.28
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$18.96
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.78
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+147.3%+$44.18
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.37
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+244.8%+$53.86
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.71
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$19.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$76.9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Will US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+217.5%+$87.02
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+67.8%+$13.56
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$39.83
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.33
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+426.3%+$85.26
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-74.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Noah FA vs. AZ end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+157.9%+$110.56
Will PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.