Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b7c55f0729a421c982dd3b61727508922083195750c8dafee79deb7248b21b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 0c | 8,829$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 6,307$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.19 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 73c | 5,480$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.4 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 72c | 4,566$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.52 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,743$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.49 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 2,694$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.2 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 2,503$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.85 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 2,351$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.27 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 1,816$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.27 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 47c | 1,222$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.86 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 28c | 1,143$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 1,067$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.68 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 689$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Yes | 28c | 678.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 530.09$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.79 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 428.68$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…03ebbacked Yes | 20c | 416.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 12c | 389.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 23c | 333.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 322.93$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 312.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…ba6bbacked Yes | 13c | 310.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +288%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 303.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.71 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 28c | 257.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 234.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 13c | 166.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6791…b1febacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…5227backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 105.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 72c | 96.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 95.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 93.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +302.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 18c | 74.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 69.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +102%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 21c | 49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed Yes | 23c | 47.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…5b20backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 28c | 37.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 72c | 37.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 16.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed No | 73c | 14.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.