Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee0e552de87acaf9ce0a10fc6297e396b44ffc4638433deef701b2b873fb734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 10,121$7,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.15 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 71c | 5,394$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,921$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 3,723$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 3,050$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.49 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 71c | 2,581$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.49 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,085$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.81 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 1,464$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,429$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.36 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 1c | 1,064$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 1,061$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.81 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 71c | 846.64$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.2 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 827.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 2c | 650.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 12c | 520$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 5c | 510.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 29c | 431.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 408.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 344.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +343.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 335.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 9c | 205.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…185cbacked Yes | 22c | 170.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 71c | 153$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…1d95backed Yes | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 31c | 97.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…b83abacked Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…9471backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked Yes | 28c | 58.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…4655backed Yes | 28c | 57.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…ddcebacked No | 77c | 55.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 72c | 49.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 27c | 47.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…21c4backed No | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed No | 73c | 31.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 73c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…083cbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…142fbacked No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…5c26backed No | 73c | 21.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…c485backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…f4f3backed No | 73c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 72c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…2bbcbacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…72a0backed No | 73c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…0c96backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…cffdbacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?Yes won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.