Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db96055df2fe1da4d3b49fd72c89a8d8541a98ebdb0db4d31e3097139e3e958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 16,258$10,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,670.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 11,072$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 52c | 1,404$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.19 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 48c | 1,287$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 51c | 480.6$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 369$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 265.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 41c | 200.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 28c | 199.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 31c | 167.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 36c | 110.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 107.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 32c | 101.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 26c | 94.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 89.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…13febacked Under | 67c | 86.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Over | 23c | 69.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 19c | 67.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 55c | 64.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 25c | 64.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 78c | 57.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 56.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 44c | 52.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 29c | 39.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 34.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…6c1abacked Over | 42c | 25.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.