Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e729822da53f654503a7b43b4d51cfd5409426a3483c10ec59382edeb7a3d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ee3…6be7backed Over | 77c | 7,766$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 5,859$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,873$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 36c | 1,544$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.66 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 78c | 1,222$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed Under | 51c | 1,092$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 428.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 17c | 380.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 262.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 213.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 15c | 151.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 84.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 79.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 50c | 69.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 57c | 68.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 57c | 60.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 63c | 39.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 39.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 49c | 34.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 48c | 28.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 63c | 27.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc321…a50ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.