TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked No71c29,710$21,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,701.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c9,475$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.223,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c7,418$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes30c3,400$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9302128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes30c2,510$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.91540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No71c2,260$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c1,838$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.4677141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c1,756$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.321,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes22c1,579$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43521925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516e…9bf3backed No70c1,100$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed Yes7c999.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.99130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No73c963.61$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3913040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes30c889.99$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2671656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes20c706.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.292917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes16c615.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c572.72$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6125157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1f…4965backed Yes20c550$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No72c344.83$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.721978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No69c308.23$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.479054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b9…7575backed Yes26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c291$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c18…5e7cbacked No71c233$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…69d8backed No71c228$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfe…cf7dbacked No71c205$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c204.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c201.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6511127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5094…8514backed No71c197$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…f285backed No71c183$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a86…f5a8backed No71c178$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes30c177.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.243135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4bc…9937backed No71c171$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8d…daf1backed No71c164$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0f…56e1backed No71c157$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes15c150.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes22c145$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes13c144.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.785540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No70c142$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.62185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No71c140.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes45c137$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes22c131.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes22c122.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8d…4f17backed No71c114.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c100.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3316013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No68c89.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.973582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.331,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x531a…8681backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes30c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.563957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c60.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4155545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes32c56.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes30c53.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.921936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb02d…208ebacked Yes29c52.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1384…12acbacked Yes20c51.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes35c50.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.641010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-74.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155676.8%43 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No71c47.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.792948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked No71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes30c40.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1115949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes31c39.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.312250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes27c39.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No77c38.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.957751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.715066%33 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No75c33.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4614241.5%59 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c32.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c26.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.335158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c25.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.820048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0915376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed No71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68062.5%50 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No70c17.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.247060%42 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked No72c15.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c14.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4823461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c14.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3912146.3%56 W · 65 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.