TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4435…0840backed Yes36c8,331$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes35c5,914$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.92128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c5,836$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No64c4,116$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.5843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes35c2,981$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.353237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No64c2,800$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0083452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked No67c2,484$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.291225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7007963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c1,596$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.531,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.971450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c1,496$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c1,306$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.114740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c1,133$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.9425157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes33c1,105$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No64c999.99$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes35c919.46$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.811,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed No66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes36c902.32$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.832917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes31c679.05$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No65c599.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c589.01$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0531849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes35c499.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.994250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c444.8$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes34c399.05$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes40c377.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes35c345.7$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes37c272.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c262.16$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.892,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No63c222.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.49054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes22c211$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.217636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes37c200.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1311130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…ea39backed Yes10c194.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbbf…08a1backed No65c191.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c175$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.538247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes35c147.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes36c140.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503225%8 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes36c137.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes31c114.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3113040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c104.59$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8320048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes30c100.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc12f…8973backed Yes34c87.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes35c77.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275042%21 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c76.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No65c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeff…7353backed Yes34c66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.442030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes36c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes35c64.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229740.2%39 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked No66c58.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.822466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9791…caeabacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes35c57.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No64c55.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.976656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes36c54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes37c50.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.512146.3%56 W · 65 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes37c46.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.243135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.454660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No65c41.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.648155.6%45 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No65c40.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No66c40.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No63c39.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.785343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed No65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.463076.7%23 W · 7 L+6.9wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+49.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c35.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef0…b644backed Yes35c33.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…981abacked Yes35c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes35c32.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.378345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…c3e2backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.