TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9791…caea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$209.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.42
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+97.6%+$48.82
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150%+$45
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.12
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.33
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$37.99
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+82.5%+$16.51
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88.79
Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$109.53
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$21.18
Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Timberwolves vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$60.92
Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Nuggets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+78.7%+$63.73
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$107
1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$41.11
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.72
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.8%+$20.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$61.37
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$38.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+163.2%+$29.37
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.96
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.58
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$59.89
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.66
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+54.5%+$45.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.9
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$36
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$133
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+168.2%+$45.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.