NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d5a64a484e419fb0ade8b6b3f03d8899d29a07d79e63ed2aebe52bac5200da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 7,107$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.46 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 5,012$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.4 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,194$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Over | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.82 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 2,928$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.15 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 2,089$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.17 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 1,451$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.15 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,082$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.14 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.2 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 53c | 999.57$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.73 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 51c | 817.65$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.65 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 603.4$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Over | 50c | 599.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 49c | 540$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.4 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 51c | 464.39$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…bb93backed Under | 49c | 415.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 286$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Over | 48c | 266.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Over | 56c | 264.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…3e01backed Over | 47c | 222.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 53c | 192$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…caeabacked Over | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Over | 42c | 178$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Under | 51c | 116.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 50c | 102.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 50c | 100.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 50c | 89.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Under | 64c | 77.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 38c | 74.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 51c | 59.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 51c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 50c | 44.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 60c | 44.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Under | 49c | 42.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…4492backed Under | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0891backed Under | 49c | 29.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 63c | 25.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…e06bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Kings won
- Wild vs. KingsKings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.