NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e71e29d361e1293281672987451449b3e01fea8beb44164f09976796803d8f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Wild | 6c | 608.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Wild | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kings | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 28c | 269.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wild | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Wild | 73c | 226$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Wild | 73c | 178$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Wild | 73c | 149$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wild | 50c | 146.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Wild | 73c | 141$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Wild | 72c | 134$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Kings | 58c | 125.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Wild | 73c | 104$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Wild | 73c | 101$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kings | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Wild | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 49c | 82.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Kings | 27c | 78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 72c | 76.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Wild | 73c | 74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…2003backed Wild | 51c | 64.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Wild | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 37c | 62.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Wild | 73c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Kings | 27c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Kings | 28c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Wild | 73c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Wild | 72c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Kings | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Kings | 27c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Kings | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Kings | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Kings | 27c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Kings | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Kings | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Kings | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Wild | 72c | 19.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Wild | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Kings won
- Wild vs. KingsKings won
- Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.