TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa305…73c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.32
Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.55
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.17
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.64
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.4
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.78
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$22.54
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.72
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Pacers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.43
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.24
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+132.6%+$13.68
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.84
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$15.96
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$13.68
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.36
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.86
Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-3.5)backed Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.24
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.21
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
Ball State Cardinals vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.14
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$11
Penn Quakers vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.53
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$17.48
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncosbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.94
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-10.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.66
Pacific Tigers vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Spread: Boston College Eagles (-12.5)backed Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.34
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.35
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-19.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$13
James Madison Dukes vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.94
Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-4.5)backed Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.67
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Eisbaeren Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$11.5
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+257.1%+$33.84
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.77
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Iserlohn Roostersbacked Iserlohn Roosters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.5
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$29.93
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.74
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$14.56
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Belleville Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.04
Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.36
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Capitals vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.32
Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.16
Sharks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$10.92
Islanders vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.93
Hull City AFC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$4.86
Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.68
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.03
Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.84
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.22
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.35
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.47
Will Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.94
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$24.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.5
1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.34
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.35
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.05
Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H Moneylinebacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37%+$9.99
Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+104.1%+$13.26
1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+83.6%+$9.93
49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneylinebacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.29
Bills vs. Browns: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.5
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$7.02
Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.63
Will Dundee FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.2
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.58
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.64
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.21
FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
PSV vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.64
Svajda vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Zheng vs. Kenin: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
Sakkari vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Jodar vs. Cassone: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.96
Svajda vs. Boyer: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.76
Gauff vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.36
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.97
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$16.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
USC vs. TCU: 1H Moneylinebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.66
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$13
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.85
Spread: South Florida (-2.5)backed South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.67
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.66
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Preasy Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$7.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.83
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Valenciabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$31.2
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Valenciabacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.11
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52.25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.22
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$14.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.