Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af09a8bf1969eee97c6cf96d03b1bd1b579b8a99f1e4f1d7706312ac326707b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 7,267$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.01 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 4,371$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 3,001$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.55 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 514$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 504$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 229$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 191$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 175.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 142.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 118.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 71.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…01c1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska CornhuskersIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.