Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a910598dbdaf4fef3a698d512d72abf4c57749ad2d0cf9c9d818f7123de99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 49c | 6,024$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.83 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,066$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 45c | 860$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 46c | 756$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 543.91$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.15 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Under | 59c | 480.93$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 42c | 455.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 55c | 454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 279.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 44c | 137$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 45c | 114.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 41.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 26.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a3…4f47backed Under | 45c | 23.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 151.5this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska CornhuskersIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.