Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8aff1e88d61f6e230e5f08c710c1adc1667c62095c36c66abd90dff5bbcb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 42c | 7,244$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 5,880$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.25 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 56c | 2,868$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 44c | 2,317$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.85 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 974.12$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 861.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.89 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…72a9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 450$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 299.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 42c | 226.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…320fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 31c | 152.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 43c | 152$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 43c | 127$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 36c | 119.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 117.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 116.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 45.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 21.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska CornhuskersIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.