TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2562…72a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$91.76
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,037.75
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.94
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$192.69
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.36
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigers (W)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.79
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-14.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.92
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+45.8%+$161.46
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$192.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$7.03
Utah vs. Stars: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$43.59
Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$9.66
Blues vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$12.37
Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$14.21
Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$10.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$149.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$693.65
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,110.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.91
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+54%+$510.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+212.5%+$36.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$23.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$22.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tomas Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.