Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f643bbe5d1ae2ea68ebc736eb147db16a2779d090d215aa4e7f769ed7a73142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof SMU Mustangs, Miami (OH) RedHawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,755 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 199,953$110,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,973.73 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 178,900$79,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,208.52 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 136,651$66,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,467.04 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 72,939$35,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,928.42 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 29,883$15,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,536.5 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 21,644$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,626 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 16,960$9,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,325.59 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 15,111$7,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,655.78 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 15,000$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,856.36 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 12,514$6,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,939.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 11,895$6,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.47 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 11,892$6,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,064.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 11,488$5,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,973.78 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 10,918$5,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,606.29 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 9,913$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.22 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 9,055$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.37 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 8,500$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 7,730$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 6,748$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 6,688$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.78 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 6,542$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.56 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 6,431$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.71 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 6,400$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.1 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 6,277$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 6,195$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.61 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 6,189$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.59 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 5,865$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 5,856$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.81 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 5,360$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.5 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 5,230$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 4,461$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.93 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.2 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 3,983$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 3,965$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.5 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 3,770$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 3,568$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.87 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 3,421$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.25 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…cd90backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 3,107$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.67 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 3,067$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.62 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…60f0backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 3,010$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 3,010$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.95 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ac98backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 2,914$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.63 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 2,777$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 2,700$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 2,620$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 2,488$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 2,337$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.06 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 2,200$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.63 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…8f5bbacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 1,944$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 1,942$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.09 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 1,792$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 1,715$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.65 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 1,574$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.27 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 1,573$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 1,388$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.75 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 1,326$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.54 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 1,326$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 1,289$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.9 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 1,281$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…7333backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 1,090$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 1,088$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.93 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…2ce4backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 1,009$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.82 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 1,002$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…9943backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…09b0backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 984.87$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.19 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 874.64$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.06 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 793.1$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.14 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 773.2$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.8 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 743.49$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.45 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 693.88$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 675.94$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 594.1$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.78 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 562.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.34 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 545.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 508.29$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 495.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 486.47$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 485.71$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SMU Mustangs | 7c | 431.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)this page
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 155.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 157.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 158.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 161.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 162.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-1.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-2.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-7.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.