TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb99…0730

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$538
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.8
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,175.42
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.35
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.63
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$151.25
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-18.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.41
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$277.91
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,245.41
Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.03
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.9
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,051.58
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$4,025
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,800
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,864.15
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,885
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.57
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.85
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$481
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+106.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+497.1%+$3,023.76
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,032.1%+$1,094
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$219.47
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.1
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.47
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.99
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.04
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$76.81
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$136.86
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$232.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$74.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.