TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,400,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,342,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,400,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e4c…dba2backed No36c4,626,909$1,650,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976,908.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96cf…1acbbacked No37c2,152,994$786,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366,631.744100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+163.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes64c1,497,716$960,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960,913.9177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes64c872,419$562,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562,544.0533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes65c740,002$483,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483,057.059142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ae…386fbacked No36c500,001$180,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320,000.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+75.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes64c350,153$224,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224,097.7811642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes44c310,360$136,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,986.34151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No36c300,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,999.842774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbb5f…2e21backed Yes66c299,102$197,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,407.231060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Yes64c271,301$173,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,632.712669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes64c228,887$147,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,465.4711647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes66c212,571$139,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,748.4717840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes63c199,663$126,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,609.7774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes55c182,336$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes51c170,822$87,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,551.612,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes64c160,000$102,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,4007949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes64c155,150$99,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,296.268440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No32c150,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,999.8116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c144,059$82,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,726.64,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes67c135,222$90,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,566.344161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes63c135,135$85,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,135.0520955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No34c133,394$45,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,069.862,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes64c131,812$83,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,945.121,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No33c124,998$41,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,248.415249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes64c120,000$76,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,799.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes65c112,228$72,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,948.39247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes64c106,000$67,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,9003930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c101,743$59,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,235.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes66c100,000$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,00042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes41c95,281$38,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,896.611,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No36c93,373$33,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,758.476627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes30c92,873$27,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,707.1938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No32c89,997$28,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,197.883237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes64c80,000$51,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,40074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes37c77,075$28,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,856.7736247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c75,689$48,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,398.4876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes33c74,304$24,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,746.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No79c73,613$58,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,261.2815844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Yes68c69,118$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes67c68,980$45,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,966.687455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5848…a698backed No33c67,752$22,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,393.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No61c66,324$40,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,656.5349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No32c61,842$19,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,077.6229952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Yes66c60,000$39,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,5002040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed No35c59,998$20,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,998.929323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c56,290$10,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,074.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes68c56,000$38,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,079.9913742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes64c53,868$34,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,484.694734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No59c50,543$29,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,722.5838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes63c50,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,5003638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No75c43,933$32,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,966.3133337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes64c42,678$27,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,158.561,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed No33c42,571$14,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,522.576929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes64c40,000$25,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,60017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed Yes65c38,461$24,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,999.473237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4776…aaa9backed Yes59c33,688$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed No32c31,929$10,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,711.842147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes66c30,357$19,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,962.820044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes53c30,000$15,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,85013533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No76c29,999$22,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.717050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Yes66c29,400$19,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,4042425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28d0…a750backed Yes64c28,550$18,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,271.99560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No72c25,772$18,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,150.2842043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No66c25,652$16,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,753.771,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes64c25,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,90013259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes65c25,000$16,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,249.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Yes25c21,607$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,401.853234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes64c21,046$13,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,389.8521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No77c21,024$16,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.5679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes68c20,963$14,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2553426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No43c20,601$8,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,710.47545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No68c20,106$13,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,404.3136939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No33c19,999$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,399.0622846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes66c19,028$12,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,603.821,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Yes64c18,500$11,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,8353154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes57c18,113$10,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,281.4229333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No75c17,099$12,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,322.7910550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No65c16,331$10,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,641.9421738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes66c15,758$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,440.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes64c15,343$9,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,819.75119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98c3…b28dbacked Yes66c15,152$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac8…986fbacked Yes66c15,152$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No64c15,011$9,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,463.712,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes66c15,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90024441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes64c15,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60013235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes44c15,000$6,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,540.0415150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.9853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes68c15,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.963161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No32c14,999$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.5616835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Yes67c14,926$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.24153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes67c14,925$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes66c14,900$9,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,833.946159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c14,771$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…ac5abacked Yes68c14,706$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes68c14,542$9,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,888.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes29c14,129$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.014829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Yes66c14,000$9,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2409253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No63c13,436$8,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,018.5744435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes60c13,200$7,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,93434247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.