TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,879,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,524,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,879,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e4c…dba2backed Yes24c3,526,515$830,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696,515.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No77c663,020$510,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510,509.333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No73c645,586$470,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470,951.2674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No75c407,921$304,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,909.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No76c385,277$292,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292,810.3310740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cb…e9fdbacked Yes23c297,092$67,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,881.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ae…386fbacked Yes24c291,669$70,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,668.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+75.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No76c250,414$190,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,314.6616546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No77c238,000$182,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,609.997050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96cf…1acbbacked Yes24c187,501$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,500.764100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+163.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c160,881$106,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,736.172,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No76c160,000$121,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,599.9922139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No76c127,650$97,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,0149247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No76c123,024$93,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,498.568440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No17c101,813$17,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,678.849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No76c98,530$74,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,882.811642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No76c87,360$66,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,393.67445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c86,894$66,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,216.151,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No72c83,200$59,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,770.311,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No76c81,730$62,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,114.7729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c80,466$27,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,539.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes66c75,340$49,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,625.5338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No77c74,488$57,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,621.329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No76c70,000$53,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,20014349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No76c66,666$50,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,666.0221836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes35c57,000$19,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,0501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No76c56,800$43,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,1687941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No76c55,000$41,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,80074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c51,774$23,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,280.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No76c48,798$37,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,086.5332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No67c47,751$32,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,002.4742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No76c45,153$34,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,315.9725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes24c44,752$10,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,993.5623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes35c43,000$15,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,9504734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No76c42,059$32,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,094.259345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed No76c40,000$30,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,4003930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No66c38,850$25,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,458.2613533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked No78c37,830$29,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,507.311770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No76c34,405$26,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,151.548046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No76c33,744$25,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,645.446546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes23c32,492$7,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,018.615749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No76c32,000$24,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,32010056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No76c31,758$24,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,135.9736031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No76c30,800$23,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,4088943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c30,500$23,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,266.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No78c30,000$23,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,279.8720044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c29,713$17,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,807.1742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No30c28,119$8,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,418.4856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes79c27,717$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,716.756943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes35c27,388$9,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,802.4212254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No77c26,300$20,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,137.9913235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No76c25,250$19,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,19010251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed No76c25,200$19,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,1524544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed No76c24,075$18,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,2972245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No76c21,920$16,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,659.195244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c21,697$16,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,494.5476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe6…7027backed No76c21,500$16,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,340666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+121.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c21,228$10,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,195.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No56c20,312$11,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,412.2136939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes24c20,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,2002,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No78c20,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes34c20,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.932231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No60c17,769$10,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,578.6521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No76c17,170$13,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,049.118139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b31…67a9backed Yes35c17,000$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,050633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…b7e9backed No76c16,500$12,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,54010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No47c16,014$7,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,469.562,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Yes22c15,798$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,322.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeee…20fbbacked Yes74c15,250$11,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.342445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c14,133$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.9374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No77c13,500$10,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4301,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No76c13,020$9,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,895.26050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No40c12,826$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.082,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed No76c12,500$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5005750.9%29 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes63c12,085$7,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,514.6479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes26c10,649$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,863.6344435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No77c10,565$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,140.716647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No76c10,449$7,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,941.2417745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c10,211$7,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,519.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No76c10,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No76c10,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.967035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No78c10,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.657269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c9,898$6,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,862.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes26c9,463$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,962.687632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd879…d744backed No76c9,108$6,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,897.33450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No76c8,400$6,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,383.8211642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c8,366$4,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No39c8,046$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.0645039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No76c8,014$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.731,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No3c7,199$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes23c7,139$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,497.136633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No70c6,999$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.542,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No77c6,806$5,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,243.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No65c6,720$4,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,351.666061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No77c6,254$4,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8378952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes50c6,103$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.1836634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No76c6,100$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6364746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No78c6,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6805350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes32c6,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0806835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.