TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82c1…c2c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$4,619.98
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$530.13
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,842Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,848.4
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$8,610.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$6,420
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,589.65
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$5,870.95
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,141.42
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,753.99
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,067.25
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,588.93
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,879.98
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$3,821.48
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,185.77
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$5,939.85
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,949.96
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,569.95
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,272
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,439.95
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$957.22
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,680.75
France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.27
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,507.99
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,499.96
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,633Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,217.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,947
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,992.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.27
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,668Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,012.7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,746Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,677.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,142
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,163.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.59
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.99
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$270
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$319.66
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.1
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$494.83
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$171.82
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$206.9
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$136.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$186.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$130.34
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$155
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.06
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,583
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,561.99
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,096
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,445
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,843.17
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,527Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,554.02
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,000
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,587.64
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,623
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,671.55
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,466.57
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,619.29
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,340.7
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.42
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$4,439.97
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,616Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,584
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,760
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,221
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$289.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$752.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$253.89
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$666.67
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$186.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$317.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$99.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)backed FK Sutjeska Nikšić · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,914Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$6,386
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$750.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$740.78
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$431.67
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$295.88
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$855
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$133.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$320.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$242.45
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$240
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,939Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,404.1
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,626
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.99
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.86
Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$574.44
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$88
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.99
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$259.31
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+82.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$633.17
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$398.39
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$250.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.65
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.95
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$394.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$85.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.