NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b77c70f5497996464715b7f5815b497e3b1097fbbb1975224923c847a0e1a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,984,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,984,008 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Warriors | 68c | 99,644$67,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,756.88 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Bulls | 32c | 75,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Bulls | 28c | 74,101$20,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,660.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 32c | 44,459$14,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,235.38 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Warriors | 68c | 42,500$29,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,044.95 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 52c | 40,210$20,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,905.25 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 45c | 39,303$17,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,593.23 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Bulls | 79c | 36,431$28,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,601.84 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Bulls | 32c | 31,237$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,241.22 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Bulls | 68c | 29,493$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.67 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 32c | 28,000$9,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,901.71 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Warriors | 51c | 27,838$14,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,257.55 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Warriors | 10c | 25,368$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.89 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls | 54c | 23,177$12,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608.98 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 68c | 22,466$15,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,276.88 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Bulls | 51c | 22,360$11,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,948.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 69c | 21,718$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 50c | 17,725$8,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,789.24 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Bulls | 32c | 17,228$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,715.26 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Bulls | 33c | 16,566$5,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.21 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 43c | 16,529$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,374.92 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Bulls | 31c | 16,176$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,176.38 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 52c | 16,008$8,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,338.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 32c | 14,999$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,140.64 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Bulls | 30c | 14,167$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,916.67 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…488cbacked Warriors | 0c | 13,990$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 71 | 71.8%51 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 47c | 12,798$6,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.2 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Bulls | 31c | 11,759$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,113.74 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…8dd6backed Warriors | 76c | 11,383$8,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Warriors | 51c | 11,087$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,709.57 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 31c | 10,838$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,469.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Warriors | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 33c | 9,806$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.34 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 34c | 8,733$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 36c | 8,573$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 42c | 8,130$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.92 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bulls | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 31c | 7,500$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls | 53c | 7,327$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.81 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Bulls | 35c | 7,057$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Bulls | 32c | 6,992$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.35 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…cddcbacked Bulls | 72c | 6,732$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…734dbacked Warriors | 74c | 6,713$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Warriors | 69c | 6,363$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 57c | 6,299$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.82 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 68c | 5,799$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.02 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Warriors | 78c | 5,732$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.69 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Warriors | 67c | 5,700$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.6 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…5f66backed Bulls | 32c | 5,627$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…f4a2backed Warriors | 48c | 5,540$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 45c | 5,367$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 59c | 5,140$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.49 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 31c | 5,106$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xface…04bdbacked Warriors | 69c | 4,888$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.19 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Bulls | 35c | 4,793$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.24 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Warriors | 68c | 4,500$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulls | 55c | 4,440$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.25 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Warriors | 68c | 4,316$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Bulls | 43c | 4,300$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 68c | 4,131$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.54 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bulls | 17c | 4,118$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.93 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 68c | 4,110$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.59 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…062ebacked Bulls | 31c | 4,020$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 32c | 4,005$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 68c | 4,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 69c | 4,000$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.3 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Warriors | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.52 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Warriors | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Bulls | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Warriors | 68c | 3,997$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 25c | 3,851$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.84 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Warriors | 60c | 3,836$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.62 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Bulls | 59c | 3,743$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.69 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bulls | 31c | 3,563$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.67 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…96b0backed Warriors | 70c | 3,490$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Bulls | 39c | 3,470$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.49 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 29c | 3,399$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.24 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Warriors | 29c | 3,397$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Warriors | 54c | 3,394$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.99 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…0dd9backed Warriors | 70c | 3,362$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…374ebacked Warriors | 69c | 3,250$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Bulls | 58c | 3,183$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.51 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Warriors | 37c | 3,157$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.09 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…d5bdbacked Warriors | 69c | 3,089$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bulls | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Warriors | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Warriors | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Bulls | 23c | 2,918$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.32 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Bulls | 48c | 2,854$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.75 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls | 27c | 2,791$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.43 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…3775backed Bulls | 31c | 2,777$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…0d37backed Bulls | 68c | 2,700$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…841abacked Bulls | 31c | 2,603$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 47c | 2,596$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.13 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Warriors | 69c | 2,576$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.29 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bulls | 31c | 2,562$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.01 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Bulls won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.