TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,759 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7a5…7c26backed Over47c10,450$4,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,538.5811653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c9,913$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.941,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.061,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under52c4,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49621653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,551$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c3,170$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.0865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.115849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,943$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c2,684$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c2,015$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.941,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c1,536$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,390$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.212,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c1,359$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9810251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c639.35$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c553.53$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.962,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c445.74$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c421.51$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8038…6f61backed Over50c409.17$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c01…bec6backed Under51c405.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2130641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over50c360.85$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Over50c320.05$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1124247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Over49c319.36$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over51c313.73$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under50c300.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0840546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over44c269.63$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over41c204.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10425846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c198.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.374,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over50c191.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9823348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c182.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.522,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9001…5eadbacked Over53c176.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c176.36$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over62c171.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.661376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under60c167.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5859650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Under55c142$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.150239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under35c139.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9726034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa1…4868backed Under52c124.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over49c118.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.357334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under53c111.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8135843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Over54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over50c108.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec4a…49e0backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c99.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.465649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Under50c96.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.227439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under56c82.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over51c78.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5823657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under43c75.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.071,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9423…bba6backed Over46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under36c59.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.193,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c58.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under42c56.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under40c47.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0511128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c47.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under46c44.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over48c42.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0314046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under50c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205841.4%24 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c35.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c34.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2337665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…b3edbacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over40c30.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3310637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over57c30.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Under51c29.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c29.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Under35c28.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.115036%18 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under51c28.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4739943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under52c27.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over50c25.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over56c25.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0116150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Under60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under58c24.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3314264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over50c23.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6915752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over49c21.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.