NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7e8db5890c2ccd8409a30f572a8870f4c82a1996c9f48d1a2f9c29a4b11604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,971 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 4,781$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Under | 55c | 3,110$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.47 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 57c | 1,379$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.95 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 910.95$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 701.34$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 44c | 673.98$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.61 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Under | 8c | 646.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 63c | 519.29$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.83 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 448.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 21c | 345$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 45c | 284.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 265$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 58c | 253.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 206.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 58c | 205.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 151.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 136.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 55c | 121$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 57.7%124 W · 91 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 58c | 106.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 53c | 104.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 98.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…28debacked Under | 17c | 86.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 43c | 84.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 73.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 42c | 68.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Under | 55c | 63.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 54.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 45c | 53.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 46c | 51.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Over | 46c | 47.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Over | 55c | 45.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Over | 47c | 42.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…988abacked Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Under | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 37c | 30.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175d…621fbacked Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 58c | 26.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Bulls won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WarriorsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.