NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8bf7e4f87b639c88e875ec4cd76caecb92cbae967d5726d3fc08d14dccb753d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Warriors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,616 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 50c | 87,292$43,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,632.22 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Bulls | 50c | 55,942$27,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,970.84 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Warriors | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.96 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 49c | 24,172$11,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,325.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 50c | 20,097$10,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,048.5 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 50c | 16,766$8,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,454.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bulls | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 51c | 15,191$7,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,747.31 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Bulls | 49c | 15,077$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,690 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 48c | 13,005$6,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Bulls | 46c | 12,798$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,918.93 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 50c | 10,169$5,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.08 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 52c | 8,566$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Warriors | 54c | 8,505$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.44 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Warriors | 50c | 7,760$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 46c | 6,975$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 47c | 6,141$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…c212backed Warriors | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Warriors | 53c | 5,721$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.98 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 49c | 5,511$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.7 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,882$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Warriors | 55c | 4,355$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.97 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.31 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls | 77c | 4,000$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.17 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 50c | 3,666$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Warriors | 54c | 3,300$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 47c | 3,205$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 50c | 2,157$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 51c | 1,600$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.31 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bulls | 50c | 1,198$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.98 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Bulls | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls | 47c | 907.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.95 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Bulls | 51c | 867.11$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.88 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Bulls | 50c | 847.36$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.68 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 50c | 818$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Bulls | 47c | 752.18$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.66 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Warriors | 41c | 737$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.74 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Warriors | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Warriors | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Bulls | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Warriors | 54c | 562.96$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Warriors | 23c | 516.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Warriors | 59c | 512.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Warriors | 55c | 452.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 42c | 439$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Bulls | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bulls | 46c | 387.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 48c | 354.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls | 50c | 351.62$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Warriors | 23c | 345$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 50c | 285.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Bulls | 78c | 253.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Warriors | 53c | 238.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Warriors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Bulls | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Bulls | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Warriors | 55c | 193.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Warriors | 53c | 188.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 46c | 139.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Bulls | 47c | 135.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls | 45c | 128.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 52c | 125.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls | 47c | 101.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Warriors | 54c | 100.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Bulls | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Warriors | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Bulls | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…4a10backed Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Warriors | 51c | 97.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 94.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Warriors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Warriors | 55c | 91.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Warriors | 55c | 91.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Warriors | 50c | 87.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Bulls | 47c | 73.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Bulls | 47c | 72.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Warriors | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Warriors | 67c | 61.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Warriors | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Warriors | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Bulls | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Bulls | 46c | 50.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Bulls | 50c | 50.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Warriors | 52c | 50.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Bulls | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Warriors | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Warriors | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Warriors | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Bulls | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Warriors | 52c | 37.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bulls | 49c | 37.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 45c | 36.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Warriors | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Bulls won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WarriorsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.