NBA · resolved market
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72cf9217bfeb6c8c453e3f1d7a17caebcdd3db89d7ad716f41c8e5007f3cc519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,981 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 62c | 4,837$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.33 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0b…b446backed Yes | 46c | 1,937$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 66c | 1,305$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.34 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Yes | 31c | 1,014$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…cc63backed Yes | 35c | 990.54$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 986.73$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.69 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9156backed Yes | 31c | 878.57$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Yes | 35c | 612.55$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 65c | 523$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 445.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 70c | 389.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c24backed Yes | 32c | 321.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d7…029dbacked Yes | 32c | 315.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 66c | 304.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…3792backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 67c | 209.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 61c | 202.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…683cbacked Yes | 32c | 200.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 66c | 182.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…179fbacked Yes | 31c | 163.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…c273backed Yes | 32c | 155.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…f3b8backed Yes | 35c | 150.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…f960backed Yes | 31c | 128.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 24c | 127.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…4f23backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2782…f029backed Yes | 31c | 122.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…555bbacked Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Yes | 31c | 69.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yes | 34c | 58.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 69c | 56.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 36c | 56.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 67c | 43.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed No | 68c | 33.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ba18backed Yes | 32c | 32.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 61c | 30.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 62c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Bulls won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WarriorsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.