NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81aa0430ff06552df2c84cac90590b2611e6cc819cb5143a8bcd1b30bc253e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Warriors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 46c | 18,513$8,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,515.75 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Warriors | 51c | 13,631$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,951.82 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bulls | 54c | 10,200$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 53c | 10,000$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.1 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Bulls | 49c | 9,037$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.94 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 53c | 8,955$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Warriors | 47c | 7,448$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Warriors | 46c | 7,286$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 52c | 7,279$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls | 54c | 5,696$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.93 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 48c | 5,563$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 48c | 5,310$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 50c | 4,054$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bulls | 50c | 3,597$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.12 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 52c | 2,843$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,512$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Warriors | 53c | 2,452$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.67 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bulls | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 52c | 1,820$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 48c | 1,796$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 48c | 1,691$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 52c | 1,583$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.69 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Warriors | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.44 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 47c | 1,419$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.35 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Warriors | 50c | 1,361$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.42 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls | 75c | 1,199$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.67 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,196$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.83 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 49c | 981.16$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Bulls | 51c | 975.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.69 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Warriors | 47c | 800.36$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.92 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Bulls | 53c | 777.31$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.31 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Warriors | 45c | 751.73$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.28 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 46c | 661$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Bulls | 53c | 650$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.75 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 52c | 585.45$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 18c | 565.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Bulls | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.09 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Warriors | 49c | 413.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 49c | 385$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…b570backed Warriors | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3b6ebacked Bulls | 51c | 384$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bulls | 50c | 300.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Warriors | 50c | 300.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Warriors | 47c | 295.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Warriors | 48c | 295.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Bulls | 50c | 294.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bulls | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Bulls | 76c | 264.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bulls | 49c | 258.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Bulls | 41c | 249.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bulls | 51c | 245.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 50c | 218.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Warriors | 48c | 208.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 50c | 201.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bulls | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Warriors | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bulls | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Bulls | 51c | 196.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Warriors | 53c | 188.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Warriors | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Bulls | 51c | 157.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Warriors | 26c | 151.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Bulls | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Warriors | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 48c | 148$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Bulls | 66c | 146.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Bulls | 50c | 122.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Bulls | 50c | 119.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 52c | 118.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Warriors | 47c | 114.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Bulls | 50c | 114.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Bulls | 51c | 104.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Warriors | 58c | 103.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Bulls | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Warriors | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 46c | 90.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Bulls | 51c | 86.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Warriors | 47c | 85.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Warriors | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls | 52c | 76.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Bulls | 53c | 75.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Warriors | 47c | 71.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Bulls | 76c | 70.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Bulls | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Bulls | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bulls | 50c | 60.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Bulls | 50c | 59.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Bulls | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 54c | 54.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Warriors | 47c | 53.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Warriors | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Bulls | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Bulls | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Warriors | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Warriors | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Bulls | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Bulls won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. WarriorsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.