TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c67…a0e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
515
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT29646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 296 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$105.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$833.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$245.23
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$38.65
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 296 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16537.6%62 W · 103 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$521.12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$253.02
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$165.3
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.23
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$140.43
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$108.88
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$170
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$87.82
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+58.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cowboys vs. Seahawksbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Panthers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Rams vs. Chiefsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dolphins vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+55.5%+$185.9
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$911.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$22.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$17.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.