UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8aaecb51c74e96355d045010213305f254ed8ea98b708adab8b7ee220d1e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mar Fanof Kim, Mar Fan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mar Fan | 60c | 60,893$36,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,064 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Mar Fan | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Kim | 38c | 40,500$15,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,389.98 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kim | 39c | 36,244$14,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,135.69 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Kim | 46c | 24,536$11,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,333.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Mar Fan | 57c | 20,293$11,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,725.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Mar Fan | 61c | 19,322$11,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,517.48 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mar Fan | 61c | 18,207$11,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kim | 42c | 15,097$6,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,392.65 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Mar Fan | 79c | 14,232$11,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.14 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Mar Fan | 56c | 13,324$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Kim | 38c | 11,490$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.18 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Kim | 5c | 11,474$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.7 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kim | 39c | 10,240$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.24 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kim | 17c | 9,771$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.22 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Kim | 39c | 7,535$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.65 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Mar Fan | 54c | 7,478$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mar Fan | 52c | 7,112$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…e019backed Kim | 5c | 6,010$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…088cbacked Kim | 46c | 5,930$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kim | 33c | 5,136$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.15 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kim | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kim | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Mar Fan | 64c | 4,209$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.37 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Kim | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Mar Fan | 52c | 3,748$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.17 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Mar Fan | 60c | 3,350$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Kim | 39c | 3,324$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a9…c29bbacked Kim | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Mar Fan | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Kim | 41c | 2,813$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.7 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Mar Fan | 60c | 2,610$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Kim | 39c | 2,556$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mar Fan | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Kim | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Kim | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…0ecdbacked Kim | 44c | 2,300$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mar Fan | 55c | 2,281$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.06 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Mar Fan | 58c | 2,242$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kim | 16c | 2,226$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.3 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Kim | 40c | 2,177$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Kim | 41c | 2,168$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kim | 13c | 2,055$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Kim | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kim | 43c | 1,975$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.16 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Mar Fan | 58c | 1,767$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.41 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mar Fan | 56c | 1,724$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.56 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b95…7891backed Kim | 48c | 1,661$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Kim | 40c | 1,645$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…abe0backed Kim | 45c | 1,520$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Mar Fan | 54c | 1,476$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.14 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kim | 39c | 1,450$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Kim | 39c | 1,408$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kim | 13c | 1,350$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…c7eebacked Mar Fan | 56c | 1,340$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kim | 39c | 1,320$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.1 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kim | 36c | 1,299$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.85 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Mar Fan | 77c | 1,296$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.46 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Kim | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Kim | 5c | 1,240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6942…d3f9backed Kim | 47c | 1,219$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Mar Fan | 53c | 1,200$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mar Fan | 53c | 1,180$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.01 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kim | 41c | 1,174$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kim | 40c | 1,117$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Kim | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…2e0bbacked Mar Fan | 61c | 1,065$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Kim | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Kim | 39c | 1,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mar Fan | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kim | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Mar Fan | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…eecebacked Kim | 47c | 982.32$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Mar Fan | 60c | 916.81$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Kim | 47c | 853.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kim | 43c | 835.17$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.62 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mar Fan | 55c | 799.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…95fcbacked Kim | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kim | 41c | 760$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mar Fan | 59c | 748$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Mar Fan | 58c | 739.86$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…401cbacked Kim | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…f578backed Kim | 45c | 661$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Mar Fan | 55c | 610.57$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…9e60backed Kim | 46c | 610$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kim | 45c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Kim | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Kim | 41c | 575.61$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…79bcbacked Kim | 45c | 558.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Mar Fan | 55c | 547.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.52 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…c420backed Kim | 42c | 525.34$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Kim | 22c | 519.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kim | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mar Fan | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Mar Fan | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kim | 34c | 500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.58 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Mar Fan | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Mar Fan | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kim | 9c | 469.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…4c76backed Kim | 44c | 455.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Dom Mar Fan win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sangwook Kim win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.