TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97cb…9efc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$818.4
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$397.8
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$199.69
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+203%+$608.46
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+138.1%+$276.04
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13,244.04
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,066.11
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$499.74
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$379.02
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,677.46
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$699.65
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$499
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$539.98
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$101.84
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$95.58
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$249.02
Chiefs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$59.05
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+244.8%+$610.12
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,498
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,044.25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$158.67
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$174.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$996.51
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.73
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.38
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$313.81
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Europa League Finalbacked Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$412.34
Will Tottenham beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$44.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.3%+$13,751.19
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$525.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$555
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$98.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$149.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.