TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dominican Rep.of Dominican Rep., South Korea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$656,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,311 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed South Korea10c117,808$11,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,785.897753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc580…5dc1backed South Korea0c74,998$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055d…1ef0backed South Korea5c70,028$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f33…56a3backed South Korea2c56,284$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked South Korea2c24,115$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2916725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed South Korea11c11,129$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.8684049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed South Korea12c10,761$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.7432152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked South Korea11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2569…5d2dbacked South Korea6c8,441$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.671735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked South Korea13c7,950$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.6414953%79 W · 70 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed South Korea13c7,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Korea11c6,835$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9246547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed South Korea0c6,349$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19336.1%2 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a8…6c09backed South Korea1c6,002$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.96100%0 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dfa…63d5backed South Korea4c5,100$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa206…ab03backed South Korea12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed South Korea10c4,477$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7715550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked South Korea9c4,374$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.067247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed South Korea3c4,329$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.741241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed South Korea8c3,666$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2314039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Korea3c3,369$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.061,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Korea4c2,891$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7185235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8f…2c27backed South Korea0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Korea7c2,497$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6daa…dc38backed South Korea3c2,338$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed South Korea7c2,056$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9921842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8887…3816backed South Korea1c2,012$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed South Korea4c1,749$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0123036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed South Korea13c1,617$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6220548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked South Korea4c1,600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.21,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a0…b6b7backed South Korea7c1,510$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed South Korea2c1,491$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.793929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ec…6fe7backed South Korea2c1,167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25ef…36d7backed South Korea1c1,076$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked South Korea11c1,050$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa695…5b1ebacked South Korea14c1,029$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed South Korea13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed South Korea11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545f…6a03backed South Korea14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6061…cddebacked South Korea8c987$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.012948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed South Korea6c970.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8650%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked South Korea12c960.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9336729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4464…95d4backed South Korea12c930$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.61030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed South Korea11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38db…c700backed South Korea12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd33…bfc0backed South Korea12c896.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bfc…5943backed South Korea12c812.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…1df0backed South Korea13c801.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e30…cff3backed South Korea13c781.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked South Korea13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcefe…a6f8backed South Korea13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x471b…5058backed South Korea15c744.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…4d4cbacked South Korea15c700.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed South Korea13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed South Korea11c661.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd782…78a5backed South Korea14c660.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…5642backed South Korea5c655.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0f…0536backed South Korea12c625.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2f…c1acbacked South Korea13c616.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed South Korea5c600$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed South Korea12c596.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.971,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd6…c135backed South Korea2c592.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked South Korea13c591.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed South Korea11c555.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.316549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed South Korea7c551.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.592045%9 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Korea10c547.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.572,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…e87abacked South Korea12c545.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4abd…950fbacked South Korea2c533.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed South Korea7c522.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa077…9c54backed South Korea5c522.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bf…9bd3backed South Korea3c521.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked South Korea8c513.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe10…c5cbbacked South Korea11c509.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked South Korea13c500.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6928045.7%128 W · 152 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed South Korea12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010546.7%49 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb09…050ebacked South Korea13c468.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked South Korea12c420.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.641118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed South Korea12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed South Korea3c404.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x863c…655cbacked South Korea13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked South Korea15c399.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae1…d82cbacked South Korea13c392.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe10b…29cabacked South Korea13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed South Korea13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…0b08backed South Korea13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed South Korea11c368.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed South Korea11c360.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.86758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3886…c111backed South Korea12c320$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+285.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde0…c21cbacked South Korea12c315.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.876238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed South Korea12c308.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0311638.8%45 W · 71 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed South Korea7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+79.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked South Korea9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86d…25c8backed South Korea12c285.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick19cpaid+291.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed South Korea7c264.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.691060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2237…d2c6backed South Korea12c257.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked South Korea12c255.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.623928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked South Korea13c252$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.177753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…b5abbacked South Korea13c250.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf8a5…a6a6backed South Korea8c246.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89a4…163ebacked South Korea13c245.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.