TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe64d…5e09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
352
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT13315%20 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+317.9%+$55.64
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+333.1%+$57.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+402.9%+$74.12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+235.2%+$41.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+286.8%+$49.59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT5414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
BMW Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$130.27
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Otto Virtanenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
BMW Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+1,451.5%+$157.43
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$63.86
Set 1 Winner: Ruse vs Yastremskabacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Madrid: Franco Agamenone vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)backed Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Tamara Korpatsch vs Jule Niemeierbacked Jule Niemeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Barletta: Kimmer Coppejans vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+240.1%+$45.99
Harry Wendelken vs. Tung-Lin Wu: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Menorca: Valentin Royer vs Alex Martinezbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Alicante: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+452.2%+$180.9
Split: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dubrovnik: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333%1 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick17cpaid-85.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $160 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $350-$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 6 above $146?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $295?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $175?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 30 above $560?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+365.1%+$37.68
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit 4750 (LOW) in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Meta (META) close above $780 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $170?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $570?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $153?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $255?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+417.9%+$83.58
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+649.2%+$129.84
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+505.1%+$50.51
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$208.84
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$48.49
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+318.4%+$63.68
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$33.73
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+557.5%+$111.51
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+494.1%+$109.84
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
San Diego Padres vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fernando Alonso win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will UConn advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sam Houston win the 2026 CUSA conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will North Texas win the 2026 American conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Georgetown win the 2026 Big East title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Iowa State win the 2026 Big 12 title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Nebraska win the 2026 Big Ten title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Illinois win the 2026 Big Ten title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Miami win the 2026 ACC title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kentucky win the 2026 SEC title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Mozambique vs Malawibacked Mozambique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Cricket League, Women: Western Australia vs ACT Meteorsbacked Western Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoriabacked Victoria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
National T20 Cup: Bahawalpur Region vs Lahore Region Whitesbacked Lahore Region Whites · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National T20 Cup: Faisalabad Region vs Peshawar Regionbacked Peshawar Region · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+139.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+89.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+279.1%+$55.81
Will Chicago Bears draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+582.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+318.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+318.6%+$31.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Recoleta FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.