MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f989afb032a73c9fe052ca15c65b5a1614b351e09ac7ac8a83b2f63afde7ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 2,542$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.26 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,529$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.99 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 999.8$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.88 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 993.16$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 803.8$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 666.68$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.4 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 662.16$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.42 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 612.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 374$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 357.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…5d41backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 330.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 309.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 14c | 253.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 244.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 215.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 179.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 179.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 151.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 132.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 128.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 124.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 123.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 95.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Detroit Tigers | 31c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 70.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 63.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 61.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 55.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 50.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 44.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 38.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 38.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 23.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.