TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfac6…5d41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick54cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$217.35
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56.47
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$196.18
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$33.22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+89.2%+$80.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+87.1%+$69.68
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100.9%+$167.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.1%+$127.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.63
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$44.81
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.22
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$520
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+163.2%+$63.63
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+201.6%+$193.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.87
Final Stage: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brasilia: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Miguel Damasbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.6%+$47.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+65.6%+$16.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$386.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.