TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsend

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Taylor Townsendof Joanna Garland, Taylor Townsend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Taylor Townsend62c17,781$10,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,793.2913363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfb…9c40backed Joanna Garland39c15,741$6,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,198.496448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Joanna Garland23c9,430$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.772,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Joanna Garland39c6,647$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.3237540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Joanna Garland39c4,483$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.539245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Taylor Townsend61c4,219$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.3526545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Joanna Garland38c3,994$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.0928835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Joanna Garland36c3,485$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.2154138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Joanna Garland37c3,466$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.7457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Joanna Garland35c3,430$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.4212147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Joanna Garland39c2,950$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b6…2262backed Taylor Townsend64c2,238$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Joanna Garland45c2,208$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Joanna Garland20c2,050$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.232,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Joanna Garland37c2,027$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.885117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Joanna Garland38c1,992$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.9143051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9c…7664backed Joanna Garland39c1,920$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Joanna Garland9c1,832$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.52,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Joanna Garland18c1,652$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Taylor Townsend61c1,640$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.278053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Taylor Townsend61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3452460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joanna Garland14c1,601$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.467,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Taylor Townsend66c1,600$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54447057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Joanna Garland40c1,573$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6294040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Taylor Townsend67c1,493$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.392250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Joanna Garland42c1,425$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf334…0606backed Joanna Garland38c1,400$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.994214.3%6 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Joanna Garland39c1,267$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.974,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Taylor Townsend60c1,234$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.687251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Taylor Townsend61c1,199$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.7116242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Taylor Townsend60c1,083$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.248552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Taylor Townsend61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Joanna Garland26c988.7$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.912,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Joanna Garland14c939.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1827935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Taylor Townsend64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.52564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Taylor Townsend60c930.01$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Taylor Townsend59c909.67$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5781047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Joanna Garland39c897.44$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed Taylor Townsend60c880.04$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+101.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed Joanna Garland46c878.17$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Joanna Garland32c849.91$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Taylor Townsend60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.21,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Joanna Garland15c806.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Joanna Garland42c787.86$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.091,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d9…56c4backed Taylor Townsend62c785.21$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.381060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Taylor Townsend60c765.74$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfded…cddabacked Taylor Townsend61c751.31$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb12…104bbacked Joanna Garland47c740.52$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Taylor Townsend60c734.85$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe593…cc7dbacked Joanna Garland48c712$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Taylor Townsend61c700$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27546649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Taylor Townsend60c676.05$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.063,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Joanna Garland23c665.14$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.072,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Joanna Garland38c655.48$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8727543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Taylor Townsend60c654.03$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.613154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Taylor Townsend62c636.2$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Joanna Garland32c633.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20067239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4996…5e5ebacked Taylor Townsend62c629.55$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Taylor Townsend63c628.04$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.041952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Taylor Townsend62c606.22$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.363354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Taylor Townsend62c581.07$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.291258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Joanna Garland39c564.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.996,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x072c…1d5ebacked Taylor Townsend62c532.26$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Joanna Garland39c525.13$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.331,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Taylor Townsend60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Taylor Townsend62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902479.2%19 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb97…5356backed Joanna Garland19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Joanna Garland37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1e…0673backed Taylor Townsend61c488.72$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Joanna Garland36c468.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3657252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Taylor Townsend60c461.1$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2733650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e49…fb01backed Joanna Garland43c460.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf820…a8c7backed Joanna Garland12c442$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.06825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…37f6backed Joanna Garland40c436.13$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Taylor Townsend62c427$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1637342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe96f…3750backed Taylor Townsend63c425.4$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Joanna Garland39c424.16$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.651,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Taylor Townsend60c416.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.591,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Taylor Townsend53c416$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.521,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Joanna Garland34c400.38$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.672,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Taylor Townsend60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Taylor Townsend62c400$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Joanna Garland40c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15846932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Taylor Townsend77c388.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.658465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Taylor Townsend63c379$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.941,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Joanna Garland40c360$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9856…f62fbacked Taylor Townsend66c356.4$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.291060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Joanna Garland41c348.25$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3869350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ecf…b995backed Joanna Garland41c345.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Taylor Townsend61c343.63$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.268951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Taylor Townsend58c340$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.12378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+55.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Joanna Garland15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Taylor Townsend61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Taylor Townsend62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5813450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Joanna Garland14c309.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8492145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed Joanna Garland49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Taylor Townsend59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12329636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Taylor Townsend60c283.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.333756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Joanna Garland37c262.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.273043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Taylor Townsend56c262.34$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7312354.5%67 W · 56 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.