TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8374…6768

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brasilia: Henrique Rocha vs Thiago Monteirobacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$237.76
Brasilia: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$39.68
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kei Nishikoribacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$159.9
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$526.87
Antalya 2: Despina Papamichail vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$452.09
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+65.6%+$303.41
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$116.48
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$723.69
Osorio vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Osorio vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Yastremska vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Yastremska vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Argentina Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$233.2
Dallas Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Bernard Tomicbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$204.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$560
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$841.39
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$560.99
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$428.4
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$572.39
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$407.83
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$384
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.75
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$42.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.81
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$260.14
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$28.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+98.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$54
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$48.95
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$628.9
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$191.59
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$554.7
All 7 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$900
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$815.17
Flames vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.3%+$103.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$598.87
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$257.32
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$4,592.5
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$640.73
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$516.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$624.47
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$124.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,279.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$650.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.