TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked paiN45c12,999$5,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,859.3983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION50c6,627$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,315.1524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed PARIVISION51c6,422$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.225954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed paiN50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked PARIVISION55c5,442$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.1725751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed PARIVISION57c5,049$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.642556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION54c4,074$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.0735236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed paiN50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed paiN45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed paiN50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN45c1,996$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.8498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed PARIVISION54c1,851$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.649246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked paiN46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN44c1,545$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9920539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed PARIVISION56c1,243$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.4227950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked PARIVISION48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed PARIVISION50c942$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47120838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked paiN52c793.92$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.8447147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN50c658.73$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION54c648.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6b04backed PARIVISION80c481.1$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked PARIVISION56c464.52$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3961754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked paiN51c461.93$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2416738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed paiN20c432.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5536645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked PARIVISION48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20838051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x552b…604bbacked PARIVISION50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed PARIVISION52c384.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.988053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN56c370.39$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.931,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked PARIVISION55c341.15$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1518336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed paiN51c329.82$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.845244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked paiN52c326.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708356.6%47 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed PARIVISION48c321.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.422045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked paiN45c317.61$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.461,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN49c284.89$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.221,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked PARIVISION54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.787138%27 W · 44 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdce3…eda0backed PARIVISION56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.868645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed PARIVISION49c255$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0528046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed paiN45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9917849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed PARIVISION48c209.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.346915.9%11 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed PARIVISION51c189.16$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7419732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked paiN52c175$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9113351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked PARIVISION69c160.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0626438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed paiN50c155.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed PARIVISION49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0631757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed paiN45c150.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9160853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6643640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked PARIVISION56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…05abbacked PARIVISION49c139$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked PARIVISION51c137.81$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9425143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked PARIVISION37c114.39$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.073351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed PARIVISION47c112.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+98.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x675d…8f7abacked paiN50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked PARIVISION49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked PARIVISION50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6842057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5241645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x846d…67b3backed PARIVISION53c85.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024842.7%106 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked PARIVISION55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c3…466cbacked paiN50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed PARIVISION49c72.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed PARIVISION74c61.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.966657.6%38 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed PARIVISION49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2240050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked PARIVISION55c59.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.989550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…e64abacked paiN51c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed PARIVISION47c56.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8652449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed PARIVISION51c52.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.919554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed paiN51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c0…fd09backed paiN51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked paiN59c42.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed paiN46c39.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0836846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked PARIVISION72c38.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8481244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4746…d980backed paiN51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked paiN47c34.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION52c34.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4447146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed PARIVISION72c30.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3721762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed PARIVISION56c28.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5718447.8%88 W · 96 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed paiN51c25.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9252755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed paiN49c20.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed paiN50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed PARIVISION50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddc…7b24backed PARIVISION50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.