TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x675d…8f7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.3%+$30.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$73.42
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.2%+$95.87
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$88.34
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$38.13
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+128%+$78.95
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+52.1%+$13.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.26
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$78.06
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$36.51
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+64.2%+$64.37
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$63.41
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$36.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$103.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$53.42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54.1
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$39.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$29.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$158
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.